S8/10Geopolitical
US tightens grip on Iran while insisting diplomacy still possible
US strikes hit transport infrastructure in Iran, including bridges, overnight between Jujly 17 and 18, Iranian media reported, marking a further escalation more than a week after fighting resumed around the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Even as the campaign intensifies, the White House insists the door to diplomacy remains open.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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