S6/10Geopolitical
India's private banks draw thinner margins on tepid credit growth
Top private sector banks reported weaker net interest margins (NIMs) in the June quarter as sluggish retail loan demand pushed them towards lower-yielding corporate loans. HDFC Bank's NIM fell to 3.26%, Kotak Mahindra Bank's dropped to a 19-quarter low of 4.53%, while Axis Bank's stood at 3.46%.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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