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S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: IRGC attacks US bases in Jordan after US bombs Larak Island
US Central Command says its forces bombed two rocket launchers of the IRGC on Larak Island.
Source: Al JazeeraOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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