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S5/10Economic

Five ways the Iran peace deal could affect you and your money

With fuel and gas prices having fallen in recent days, we look at how the end of hostitlities might affect you - in five charts.

Source: BBC BusinessOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Iran's nuclear program resumes activity. Tensions rise between Iran and its neighbors in the region. US sanctions on Iran are re-imposed, leading to increased oil prices and volatility in global markets. Confirmation indicators: Increased rhetoric from Iranian officials regarding nuclear development; Diplomatic tensions escalate with regional powers like Saudi Arabia and Israel. Sanctions enforcement by the US Treasury. Time horizon: 45 da

Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Статус-кво

Iran's nuclear program resumes activity. Tensions rise between Iran and its neighbors in the region. US sanctions on Iran are re-imposed, leading to increased oil prices and volatility in global markets. Confirmation indicators: Increased rhetoric from Iranian officials regarding nuclear development; Diplomatic tensions escalate with regional powers like Saudi Arabia and Israel. Sanctions enforcement by the US Treasury. Time horizon: 45 da

Horizon: 7–30 days
C
Деэскалация

Iran's nuclear program resumes activity. Tensions rise between Iran and its neighbors in the region. US sanctions on Iran are re-imposed, leading to increased oil prices and volatility in global markets. Confirmation indicators: Increased rhetoric from Iranian officials regarding nuclear development; Diplomatic tensions escalate with regional powers like Saudi Arabia and Israel. Sanctions enforcement by the US Treasury. Time horizon: 45 da

Horizon: 7–30 days

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