S6/10Geopolitical
NYT : ترامب يقترب من فخ الحرب الأبدية مع إيران
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence по данным NYT
Horizon: 7–30 days