S6/10Geopolitical
Nato allies announce £37bn for new missile project
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer will convene around a dozen leaders to discuss the programme in Ankara.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days