S6/10Geopolitical
US warplanes again detected circling over Persian Gulf
Besides, two more planes are flying over the Persian Gulf coast and two - over the neutral waters of the Gulf of Oman
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days