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S8/10Geopolitical
US strikes Iranian launchers on Larak Island in first known attack in weeks
Iran says the attack killed some civilians and is the first known US strike on Iran since late July.
Source: BBC WorldOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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