S6/10Geopolitical
‘Testing is now underway’: Zelenskyy confirms progress on major US defense deals
On the heels of a Patriot license pledge, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed progress on billion-dollar defense tech deals with the U.S.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация— 34% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days