S8/10Geopolitical
US strikes across five Iranian provinces killed at least 14 people on Wednesday
US strikes across five Iranian provinces killed at least 14 people on Wednesday US attacks across five provinces on Wednesday killed at least 14 people and wounded 78 others, the Iranian Health Ministry reported.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 65% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days