S6/10Geopolitical
'China Shock 2.0'? The real shock is protectionism
At a time when global growth remains fragile, the greater threat to the world economy is not China's development – it is the growing retreat from openness and the rise of protectionism.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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