S6/10Military
European Commission seeks to extend temporary protection for Ukrainians, but not newly arrived military-age men
The European Commission has proposed to extend temporary protection for Ukrainians until 4 March 2028, but not to grant it to newly arrived Ukrainian citizens who are prohibited from leaving Ukraine due to military service obligations.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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