S8/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: Trump weighs ‘massive attack’ on Iran
Trump says he is considering a ‘massive attack’, as Iran's Araghchi says 'mindless aggression' won't help a deal.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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