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S9/10Natural
Major quake off Philippines kills at least four, triggers tsunami warnings
A powerful 7.8-magnitude earthquake rocked the southern Philippines on Monday, killing at least four people, toppling buildings and prompting tsunami warnings across parts of Southeast Asia and the Pacific, as authorities ordered coastal residents to evacuate and rescuers searched for victims amid strong aftershocks.
Source: France24Original source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 10–20 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 10–20 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 10–20 days
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