S8/10Geopolitical
Global `party of war’ seeking to prolong Ukraine conflict, Lukashenko says
The president reiterated that Belarus, which he said is detested by certain Western politicians for its independent course, does not need war
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 60% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days