S6/10Geopolitical
Russia summons Moldovan ambassador over violations of convention on diplomatic relations
A resolute protest was lodged with him over gross violations by the Moldovan side of the 1961 Vienna Convention of Diplomatic Relations in two incidents involving employees and official cars of the Russian embassy in Moldova
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 34% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days