S6/10Geopolitical
Ukraine calls on UN Security Council members to table immediate ceasefire resolution
Members of the UN Security Council should immediately table a resolution on a ceasefire in Ukraine.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 34% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days