S9/10Geopolitical
No major damage from Iran attacks, US official says
No major damage from Iran attacks, US official says Dozens of missiles and drones fired by Iran caused no significant damage or injuries to American personnel, AFP reported on Thursday, citing a US defence official speaking on condition of anonymity. The official added that Iranian strikes “were intercepted or failed to cause major damage”, adding that there were “no US injuries”.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 77% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days