S9/10Geopolitical
US launches fresh strikes on Iran after ships attacked in Strait of Hormuz
Bahrain and Kuwait sounded missile alert sirens Wednesday morning after Iran immediately warned Washington it would 'take whatever measures it deems necessary' following the US strikes.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 69% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days