S6/10Geopolitical
Rosatom plans to deliver nuclear fuel to El Dabaa NPP in Egypt in 1H 2027
The plant is expected to be connected to the power grid in 2028, Alexey Likhachev noted
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 40% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days