S6/10Social
Why India Cannot Escape Blame for Dhaka’s Handing Over of Key Projects to China
In 2015, Bangladesh allotted land to India for the development of an SEZ at Mongla port. India failed to start work on that project. Dhaka handed it to China.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 31% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days