S6/10Geopolitical
Iran, Gulf hit as Hormuz, Bab al-Mandeb close: What’s the latest?
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth tells US senators that the war has cost the US $37.5bn so far.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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