S7/10Natural

Prediction Markets Let You Bet on Whether a Wildfire Will Burn Down Your Town

Wildfire survivors call fire-prediction markets “morally reprehensible” and worry they could increase the risk of arson.

05 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTCSource: WiredOriginal source
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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