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S5/10Economic
It is essential to sustain Russia’s economic growth at least at 2%
President of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs Alexander Shokhin stressed the importance of accounting for external factors that could adversely impact the economy
Source: TASS English
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 28–56 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialiseHorizon: 28–56 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 28–56 days
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