S6/10Social
Trump teleprompter operator faces scrutiny over prediction market bets
Aide allegedly used advanced knowledge of president’s speeches to profit on ‘mention markets’ wagers
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 25% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days