S6/10Geopolitical
【 華府連線 】 北約峰會結束 川普 ： 伊朗暗殺名單上我排第一 | 美伊戰爭 | 澤連斯基 | 霍爾木茲海峽
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days