S8/10Geopolitical
Saudis Slash Main Oil Price to Rare Discount
Ellen Wald, president of Transversal Consulting and Author of 'Saudi, Inc.,' said that Saudi state oil producer Saudi Aramco is lowering the price of oil to make it worthwhile for Asian buyers to charter a tanker to go into the Strait of Hormuz and to buy up stores of oil that have laid stagnant during the war. Wald said that while Saudi Aramco made money off of the conflict in Iran, they want the keep oil prices stable. (Source: Bloomberg)
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 62% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days