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S9/10Natural
At least 19 dead after major earthquake strikes southern Philippines
The magnitude-7.8 quake triggered small tsunami waves in the Philippines, Indonesia and Japan.
Source: BBC WorldOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 14–21 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 14–21 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 14–21 days
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