S6/10Military
Russian envoy says Coalition of Willing exercises in Poland will be symbolic show
Andrey Kelin also claimed that he does not think the upcoming military drills will turn into anything large-scale
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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