S8/10Military
Ukraine loses 9,600 troops, mercenaries in special military op zone in past week — expert
According to Andrey Marochko, Russia's Battlegroup Center inflicted the heaviest manpower losses on the enemy
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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