S8/10Geopolitical

US Stock Futures Today: AtaiBeckley, GE Aerospace, UnitedHealth

S&P 500 Index futures are down 0.2% as of 7:47 a.m. in New York. The US intensified strikes against Iran, hitting an oil tanker near the country’s main export terminal for the first time since the restart of the blockade on the Islamic Republic’s ports.

16 Jul 2026, 11:54 UTCSource: Bloomberg MarketsOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация64% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days