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S8/10Geopolitical
IAEA warns over Iran nuclear access as Western powers push UN referral
UN nuclear watchdog urges Iran to cooperate, as Western powers push to refer its nuclear file to the Security Council.
Source: Al JazeeraOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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