S6/10Military
Ukraine's Fedorov: mobilisation cannot be fixed without a new social contract and real military reforms
Acting Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov has said that Ukraine's mobilisation problems cannot be resolved without a new social contract, systemic reforms in the armed forces and proper treatment of service members.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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