S5/10Economic
With Hormuz reopened, has the oil shortage turned into a glut?
As flow resumes through the strait, an oil surplus may yet again destabilise global energy markets.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 22% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days