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S5/10Economic

Charting the Future of the Indonesian Military’s Involvement in Counterterrorism

While TNI’s past counterterrorism involvement has proved beneficial, it is important not to overlook how a further expansion of its role could complicate existing efforts.

Source: The DiplomatOriginal source
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Scenarios Analysis: Indonesian Military's Counterterrorism Involvement

Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Статус-кво
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
Деэскалация
Horizon: 7–30 days

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