S9/10Geopolitical
Trump threatens Iran strikes after attack on US base in Jordan
”It’s our turn.” President Donald Trump says the US will hit Iran “very hard” following an attack on US forces in Jordan
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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