S8/10Geopolitical
Seven killed, 24 injured in Ukrainian drone attack on Kotovsk
Governor Yevgeny Pervyshov says the open fire at the attacked Wildberries warehouse had been extinguished, although firefighting operations are still underway
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 65% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days