S6/10Geopolitical
Cocaine-Funded Gangs Shake Colombia Years After Peace Pact
Attacks by powerful militias against civilians reflect the state’s inaction eight years after a peace accord removed a powerful rebel group from the field.
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 32% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days