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S8/10Military
Ukrainian troops use chloropicrin, other prohibited chemical warfare agents — Russia’s FSB
The Russian Federal Security Service reported that channels for the delivery of chemical agents to Ukraine are currently being uncovered
Source: TASS EnglishOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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