S6/10Geopolitical
Ucrania : Zelenski echa al ministro de Defensa , clave en la guerra con drones , y hay protestas en el país
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days