S6/10Geopolitical
Protests against Fedorov’s dismissal continue in Kyiv
A protest against the dismissal of Mykhailo Fedorov as defence minister and for the resignation of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Oleksandr Syrskyi is taking place in Kyiv's Ivan Franko Square for the third consecutive day
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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