S9/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks with 110 air assets: Ukraine downs 5 out of 7 ballistic missiles, 1 Kh-59/69 and over 100 drones
Russian forces attacked Ukraine on the night of 25-26 July with a Kh-59/69 guided air-launched missile, seven Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles and 136 strike UAVs including Shahed types, jet-powered ones, Gerbera, Italmas and Parodiya decoy drones.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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