S6/10Geopolitical
Declining response of IAEA to attacks against Zaporozhye plant dangerous — Rosatom CEO
Alexey Likhachev emphasized that the situation is one step away from a catastrophe of a regional scale
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days