S6/10Geopolitical
Oil base reservoir in Tver Region catches fire after Ukraine’s drone attack
The fire has been localized, no casualties were reported, Vitaly Korolev said
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 47% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days