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S8/10Geopolitical
Ukrainian forces strike bomber in Crimea and Russian UAV command posts in Donetsk Oblast
Ukraine’s defence forces struck a Russian Su-24 bomber at Saky airfield in occupied Crimea, along with UAV command posts, ammunition and fuel depots.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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