S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: US bombs Sirik, Qeshm, Bandar Abbas over Hormuz attacks
Explosions in Iran's Sirik, Bandar Abbas and Qeshm as US launches attacks after revoking waivers on Iranian oil exports.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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