S9/10Geopolitical
Baku lodges protest with Russia after strike on Azerbaijani petrol station in Ukraine
Azerbaijan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned Russian Ambassador Mikhail Yevdokimov, where he was issued a strong protest and handed a diplomatic note in connection with a drone attack on a SOCAR petrol station in Ukraine's Mykolaiv Oblast on the evening of 5 July.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 74% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days