S6/10Social
Ceuta authorities report 88 deaths amid mass influx of migrants — news agency
On August 2, the Spanish government’s press office reported 72 fatalities, and the Moroccan authorities reported 11 deaths
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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