S6/10Social
US envoys may visit Russia by end of August, but no dates set yet — source
Earlier, The New York Times reported, citing sources, that Witkoff and Kushner are in daily contact with Russian and Ukrainian officials regarding the conflict settlement
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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