S8/10Geopolitical
Israeli attacks kill at least five Palestinians in Gaza despite ‘ceasefire’
Attacks continue in violation of the October agreement with more than 1,100 Palestinians killed since then.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 58% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days